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Following(30)
30 tipsters
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For unverified picks, parlays and live-betting, go to:
http://kawa-u.blogabet.com/
thanks for visiting the blog!
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I am currently running a mailing list.
If you want to be registered, the list is for free in kawatips@gmail.com. I have not in mind to open a paid service, maybe in the future I will do it, I don't know, but in case I decide to open it I will tell you in advance and not from one day to other. Anyways, I don't pretend to open a service with less than 10% ROI and good limits of money per event, so don't worry by now.
Regards,
K.
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After watching the first half of Juventus - Napoli and notice my mistake interpreting the game, I prefer to avoid to pick another one today, so I'm closing with this message. Only luck will save that pick now, but it was evidently EV-, so I prefer to take a rest for now.
See you next week.
K.
thank you dear visitor, you help to keep it going on!
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 -8
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Pick: Over 2.5 Result: 0-2
Stake: 8/10 Odds: 1.98 
Bookmaker: PINNACLE vCash: Yes
Posted: Yesterday, 13:50
Not too much time for explanations. I expect an open game with the attacking power of Juventus versus the offensive disposition of Napoli, which must bring us goals. The expected range is 2 or more goals.
Odds already dropped, but still have good value.
Probably I will send 1 or 2 more picks soon.
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Hello.
Action is finally starting again this year. Today Brazil Serie B is starting and this week Brazil Serie A as well. As past year, my main target will be Serie A, because I enjoy it most and it has better limits of money. But I will put attention to Serie B as well.
In addition, I have the feeling that I'm understanding better the local soccer here, Chilean soccer, so if time is not too against me, I will try to focus on the Chilean league too.
And about cups, Sudamericana and Libertadores.
So, resuming, as main targets there are Brazil Serie A, Copa Libertadores and Copa Sudamericana. As second targets, Chile and Brazil Serie B. It doesn't exclude that sometimes I will send other games, but surely will be a little part of the whole sample.
Kind Regards,
K.
welcome again!
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 +9.2
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Pick: Over 2 Result: 3-1
Stake: 10/10 Odds: 1.92
Bookmaker: 188bet vCash: Yes
Posted: May 18, 2012, 16:32
Sbobet @1.93
5Dimes @1.91
Pinnacle @1.91
12Bet @1.90
MIN ODDS: 1.79
Hello, only this pick for today in a game that will start soon. Tigre needs the victory in order to secure the relegation risk, so I expect them going for the game at home. While on the other hand, Newells we know they are playing a great soccer, they are at the top of the table but need to win again in order to don’t be passed by Boca Juniors. Tigre and Arsenal are close of the leadership too, so I don’t expect at all a tight game here. I think at least we will have 2 goals.
No more picks for today, probably in few hours I’ll send some picks for tomorrow.
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Hello, I want to write some words after the experience of summer games past year when I lost lot of money following some good tipsters.
Today I really put in doubt if summer soccer en Europe is really profitable for most of tipsters. Now we will have lot of games of unknown cups, leagues, etc... but the first question I ask to myself... why a tipster should be expert on this kind of games and cups? is the tipster really and seriously finding value or just don't want to stop gambling?
Gambling is a strong word, I use to listen "professional gambler" or "professional poker player". Until now, professional to me is a word reserved for other kind of purposes, related mostly to academic objectives, so its not a actually a profession, maybe it can be a discipline, a work, a passion, etc. and the intensity of this should come from the compromise the person (tipster, poker player) puts on what is he doing. Anyways, if we accept the word, to me, is not a "professional" act to take decisions without a strong knowledge about what you are doing, and is not professional to put in risk people that maybe are trusting on you. For example, using the same word professional, will you ask a cardiologist to make a surgery in your brain? Of course not, because is not his speciality, that's why there are cardiologists and neurologists (specifically neurosurgeon). Same here, why if a tipster is, let's say professional, will be confident in finding profit in summer leagues, summer cups, that aren't of their whole understanding?
I wanted to write this message as an alert, I am not saying that there is no chance of finding value in the games that will come now, of course there is an open door, even because bookmakers maybe are not as prepared as with other kind of games. I don't know, but what I know is that just a general idea of each team, a general idea of the players involved and just statistics are not enough to get value in long run, bookmakers for sure are managing that basic variables and much more and will get our money if we fall into the trap.
And finally, as you know when summer is going in Europe, in South America winter is coming, so at least on this blog things will not change too much next weeks.
Have a good summer,
K.
come back when you want =)
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1 more pick in the unverified blog. Ant that's all for today.
Kind Regards,
K.
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Pick: Univ de Chile (+0) Result: 1-1
Stake: 10/10 Odds: 2.00
Bookmaker: Bet365 vCash: No
Posted: May 14, 2012, 13:15
Sbobet @2.03
Canbet @2.03
I think U. de Chile is good favorite here. Despite the game against Deportivo Quito, U. de Chile always had quite strong performances away, and after the experience of almost being eliminated with the terrible game in Quito (lost 4-1), I think they will not want to suffer it again. So, I expect a more focused UCH than that game, and playing to get the game.
The kind of game I expect is, as I said in the other pick, a 3-4-3 aggressive line of playing, and U. de Chile trying to make the game on the other field. Libertad should concede spaces if they want to get the game, so considering this the game should be a fight of qualities. The quality of U. de Chile is superior of Libertad, so following logic, this bet has strong value.
thanks for visiting the blog!
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-10
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Pick: Over 2.5 Result: 1-1
Stake: 10/10 Odds: 2.11
Bookmaker: 188bet vCash: Yes
Posted: May 14, 2012, 13:09
Pinnacle @2.09
Bet365 @2.05
I expect a drop on this odds so I’m sending this pick right now.
I’m placing this pick without confirmation of the players that will play, this because on the side of U. de Chile there’s no injured players, so it shouldn’t be a surprise the main team that will play, and the side of Libertad, I don’t know too much the players, but I know the strategic system they adopt to play at home.
Libertad stadium is quite tricky, is a small stadium not in very good conditions, it maybe could make the game of U. de Chile a little harder, but not as harder as in Quito, and after the “mistake” of putting 5 in middlefield in that game (I say “mistake” because in theory it wasn’t a mistake in my opinion, but there in the field it was a mistake), I doubt Sampaoli will try as strategy something similar. In Paraguay there’s not the problem of altitude as in Quito (or La Paz), so it’s a variable in our favor.
So well, knowing this, then we must think in the strategies of play that both teams will adopt. On the side of Libertad, home team, we must know that if they want to qualify they will need to safe the game at home, knowing that here Santiago is hot chili that will be waiting for them and, consequently, would be pretty hard to win. So, I expect they trying of course to get the game at home, and hopefully with a good difference of goals, at least 2 (in their minds), in order to defend in Santiago. I say to defend because Libertad, as Olimpia, in Paraguay are teams that established a defending style, pretty hard to be passed, but with great counterattack and, if dispose, great attack. I know they know that U. de Chile will go to attack, so they have two alternatives: either to defend and counterattack –which I see not too probably at home–, or to dispose just an offensive strategy with middlefield defense, it means, to put a little in advance the lines they use to put in defense, in order to manage the victory. If I am wrong, then the alternative I expect is the same they try often, to wait and counterattack, which is not bad either. If I am wrong in both, then I expect a third one, less probable, they with advanced lines and trying to make the game on the other side. To be honest, I almost don’t expect the last one. Nevertheless, in any of them, we have two nice ingredients for this pick: dynamics and spaces.
Now, on the side of U. de Chile, it’s easier to understand the kind of game we should have there. As we know, U. de Chile always, at home and away, will put lines in offensive. So now the new fact we need to integrate here is that U. de Chile will not play against with 5 middlefielders, I don’t know it with certainty, but I strongly think that they will not play again the same game than in Quito in paper. So we need to understand 2 alternatives (considering 1 less player in middlefield):
1. A line 4-4-2, with two wings in attack, which I don’t see too probable, and it would be our worst alternative and we should lose the bet.
2. A line of 3-4-3, as usual (with variations of course), and yes this is what I think we will have there, 3 in defense, 4 in middlefield and 3 in advance. The interesting point is that as usual too, the wings will go ahead and we should have easily 6 in attack. Let’s traduce this: 6 in attack means 5 covering ¾ of the field, so it means lot of spaces, and consequently goals.
So, with the possible scenarios understood, I find good value in over 2.5 goals, with odds not less than @1.90
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